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Polymarket wallet 0x4d850d332da44d0674f8b6f667e70af6196dea01 · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$8 +150% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 52 | 42¢ → 6¢ | $3 | −$19 −87% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 36 | 28¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$8 −84% |
| Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Ends in 68d | Yes | 17 | 29¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$5 −90% |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes45¢ | $12 |
| 220d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BuyYes28¢ | $10 |
| 220d | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BuyYes39¢ | $10 |
| 220d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes29¢ | $10 |
| 247d | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in February? | BuyNo48¢ | $8 |
| 247d | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February? | BuyNo73¢ | $5 |
| 247d | Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February? | BuyNo61¢ | $5 |
| 247d | Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? | BuyYes95¢ | $1 |
| 247d | Will Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 247d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes40¢ | $5 |
| 247d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes39¢ | $10 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes70¢ | $5 |
| 247d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes89¢ | $10 |
| 247d | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | BuyYes29¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.