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Polymarket wallet 0x4d85258e657ee0ed75dba4b5d999350a9d606dc9 · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2025 · also shown as Winged-Volatility
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? | SellDown2¢ | $2 |
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? | BuyDown2¢ | $2 |
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? | BuyDown2¢ | $2 |
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25? | BuyDown2¢ | $0 |
| 369d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BuyDown19¢ | $19 |
| 370d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BuyDown4¢ | $4 |
| 370d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 18? | BuyDown4¢ | $0 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp3¢ | $2 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp3¢ | $0 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp3¢ | $0 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp3¢ | $0 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp3¢ | $0 |
| 371d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | BuyUp3¢ | $1 |
| 372d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 16? | BuyUp83¢ | $83 |
| 373d | Ethereum Up or Down on October 15? | BuyDown18¢ | $18 |
| 374d | XRP Up or Down on October 14? | BuyUp2¢ | $2 |
| 374d | XRP Up or Down on October 14? | BuyUp2¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.