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Polymarket wallet 0x4d8cf5296ee64552ec22cf48a2587cc33a5a547d · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Sugary-Representative
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.2% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | Will Jack Crompton win the 2026 Whistler mayoral election? | BuyYes96¢ | $10 |
| 12d | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $10 |
| 13d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BuyYes96¢ | $10 |
| 13d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | BuyYes96¢ | $10 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes23¢ | $0 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyNo75¢ | $2 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | SellNo67¢ | $1 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | SellNo90¢ | $1 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ | $2 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes70¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.