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Polymarket wallet 0x4e17515cd79e49ef2566a890e79a799eaf795d72 · on Polymarket since Apr 13, 2026 · also shown as Confused-Thrush
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 55¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +82% |
| Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +56% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.5% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191d | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 191d | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 191d | Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BuyNo36¢ | $1 |
| 191d | Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | BuyNo64¢ | $1 |
| 193d | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 194d | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | BuyYes55¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.