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Polymarket wallet 0x4e2fc4680f614335e748c78fc03bcfea9bde3e4d · on Polymarket since Apr 28, 2025 · also shown as Improbable-Meantime
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,154 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,143 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,833 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Cavaliers vs. HeatSettled - ready to redeem | Heat | 8,638 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 303 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 422d | Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1? | BuyYes26¢ | $80 |
| 543d | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BuyYes1¢ | $11 |
| 543d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 543d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 543d | Cavaliers vs. Heat | BuyHeat<1¢ | $10 |
| 543d | Cavaliers vs. Heat | BuyHeat1¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.