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Polymarket wallet 0x4e4731da34f62c95ce5875dedcebe1e9f7974d0c · on Polymarket since Nov 25, 2023 · also shown as Superior-Deficit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 32 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $11 | −$1 −6.6% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.8% |
| Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $9 | −$1 −5.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 24h | Yes | 7 | 41¢ → 46¢ | $3 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 24h | Yes | 9 | 32¢ → 35¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 24h | Yes | 38 | 11¢ → 4¢ | $2 | −$2 −59% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.