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Polymarket wallet 0x4ed73482f24bc7f23f7e575f41bf1224315c89a7 · on Polymarket since Jan 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 563 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,698 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes44¢ | $248 |
| 236d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $247 |
| 282d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $20 |
| 282d | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31? | BuyYes35¢ | $20 |
| 282d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes58¢ | $20 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $20 |
| 282d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $20 |
| 283d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo1¢ | $100 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes40¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.