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Polymarket wallet 0x4f38f997c8ee50c5f190610d43e8b91b2073d125 · on Polymarket since Sep 12, 2026 · also shown as Thorough-Legging
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 765 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $43 | −$7 −14% |
| Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 106 | 10¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$4 −34% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 57 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $5 | +$1 +36% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,730 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,089 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$593 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23h | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $4 |
| 37d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17? | BuyYes46¢ | $2 |
| 37d | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BuyNo9¢ | $303 |
| 39d | Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | BuyNo4¢ | $73 |
| 39d | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BuyNo11¢ | $311 |
| 39d | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | SellYes8¢ | $381 |
| 40d | Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $333 |
| 40d | Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | BuyYes7¢ | $52 |
| 40d | Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? | BuyYes10¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.