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Polymarket wallet 0x4fd9856c1cd3b014846c301174ec0b9e93b1a49e · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2025 · also shown as True-Espadrille
Hope is a good thing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$570 −100% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| T20 Series England vs India: England vs IndiaSettled - ready to redeem | India | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | Afghanistan Tour of India T20s: India vs Afghanistan | BuyIndia90¢ | $90 |
| 37d | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SellYes75¢ | $75 |
| 64d | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SellYes37¢ | $37 |
| 75d | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $34 |
| 75d | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $1 |
| 75d | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $1 |
| 76d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BuyUp44¢ | $5 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BuySpain59¢ | $51 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BuySpain59¢ | $25 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BuySpain59¢ | $29 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BuySpain59¢ | $72 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BuySpain59¢ | $85 |
| 95d | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BuySpain59¢ | $34 |
| 96d | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BuyYes57¢ | $582 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | SellYes22¢ | $5 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | SellYes22¢ | $5 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | SellYes22¢ | $5 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | SellYes22¢ | $6 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina? | SellYes22¢ | $1 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | SellYes4¢ | $7 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | SellYes4¢ | $8 |
| 99d | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | SellYes11¢ | $1 |
| 99d | Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Argentina to score first vs. England? | Buy1¢ | $11 |
| 99d | Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? AND England to score first vs. Argentina? AND England leading at halftime? | Buy1¢ | $11 |
| 100d | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | BuyYes8¢ | $17 |
| 100d | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | SellYes21¢ | $20 |
| 100d | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | SellYes14¢ | $16 |
| 100d | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | SellYes15¢ | $5 |
| 100d | Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? | SellYes15¢ | $7 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $66 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $240 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $5 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $5 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $2 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $35 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $3 |
| 100d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $2 |
| 100d | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | SellYes9¢ | $17 |
| 100d | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | Buy9¢ | $11 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | Buy1¢ | $12 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | Buy1¢ | $12 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | Buy1¢ | $12 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | Sell1¢ | $6 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | Sell1¢ | $6 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | Sell1¢ | $7 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | Buy1¢ | $10 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | Buy1¢ | $10 |
| 101d | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? AND Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | Buy1¢ | $10 |
| 101d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes17¢ | $336 |
| 102d | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 102d | Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 102d | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | BuyYes15¢ | $15 |
| 102d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes18¢ | $175 |
| 102d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes18¢ | $88 |
| 102d | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BuyYes7¢ | $7 |
| 102d | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BuyYes7¢ | $5 |
| 102d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes18¢ | $24 |
| 102d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes18¢ | $0 |
| 102d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes18¢ | $15 |
| 102d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes18¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.