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Polymarket wallet 0x4fe76cfc0951ea3d6515b7431cff7d1d80706a7c · on Polymarket since Mar 2, 2026 · also shown as Adolescent-Robot
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down on April 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 349 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 203 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | SellYes3¢ | $0 |
| 175d | Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026? | SellYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 179d | Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit? | BuyNo21¢ | $1 |
| 179d | Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit? | BuyNo5¢ | $1 |
| 180d | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | SellYes53¢ | $2 |
| 186d | Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $1 |
| 186d | Dogecoin Up or Down on April 21? | BuyDown39¢ | $1 |
| 186d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026? | BuyNo13¢ | $1 |
| 186d | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo1¢ | $2 |
| 186d | Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | BuyYes54¢ | $2 |
| 186d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 186d | Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 186d | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BuyDown47¢ | $4 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | SellUp99¢ | $4 |
| 235d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BuyUp71¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.