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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Settled - ready to redeem | Israel | 1 | 71¢ → 50¢ | $1 | −$0 −30% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyIsrael71¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BuyUp35¢ | $3 |
| 286d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BuyUp39¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.