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Polymarket wallet 0x51e9dd9aae12d4e1b7ecc04efdd456b334cb64bf · on Polymarket since Jan 26, 2026 · also shown as Probable-Patrolling
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,566 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$310 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 198d | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 208d | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | BuyNo7¢ | $100 |
| 208d | Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | BuyNo6¢ | $200 |
| 212d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $200 |
| 233d | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BuyYes67¢ | $200 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | SellYes65¢ | $233 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes64¢ | $226 |
| 242d | US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | BuyYes28¢ | $100 |
| 242d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $60 |
| 242d | Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyYes14¢ | $100 |
| 242d | Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyYes62¢ | $100 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $30 |
| 271d | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes48¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.