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Polymarket wallet 0x5396b3d1cb0f0556479a2155246b902052e3a135 · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2026 · also shown as Elliptical-Buy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,000 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$6,120 +213% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$380 +61% |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 606 | 28¢ → 74¢ | $451 | +$280 +164% |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$4 −39% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$102 −100% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 984 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$131 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$325 −100% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,600 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$122 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 21 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.