| Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 110 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $21 | −$9 −30% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 31 | 27¢ → 41¢ | $13 | +$5 +55% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 565 | 21¢ → 2¢ | $13 | −$107 −89% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 234 | 13¢ → 3¢ | $8 | −$22 −73% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 716 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$55 −89% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 212 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $7 | −$16 −70% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 83 | 36¢ → 7¢ | $5 | −$25 −82% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 33 | 30¢ → 15¢ | $5 | −$5 −50% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 188 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $5 | −$25 −84% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 32 | 31¢ → 7¢ | $2 | −$8 −79% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$29 −97% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14 | 36¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$4 −90% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 409 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 166 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 54 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 119 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C or higher on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 122 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 208 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 241 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 41 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 133 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 156 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$52 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 73 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 103 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 803 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 21?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 72 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 182 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 716 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$149 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 108 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$43 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 361 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
