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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 68% | −7 pts | +12 pts | 66¢ · 69¢ (3¢) | $1.6K | in 434d |
| December 2026 | 16% | +4 pts | +3 pts | 15¢ · 17¢ (2¢) | $932 | in 434d |
| January 2027 | 8% | −4 pts | −9 pts | 4¢ · 12¢ (8¢) | $123 | in 434d |
| April 2027 | 2% | +1 pts | +2 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $242 | in 434d |
| March 2027 | 2% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $274 | in 434d |
| May 2027 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $148 | in 434d |
| February 2027 | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| No IPO before 2028 | 1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| June 2027 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| July 2027 | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| August 2027 | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| September 2027 | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| October 2027 | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| November 2027 | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| December 2027 | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $64 | in 434d |
| October 2026 | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $144 | in 434d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  DancewithRisk2 fills | November 2026 | BuyYes63¢ → 68¢ | $2,166 | +$175 +8.1% | 40 |
| 2d |  flovertaco | October 2026 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,834 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | marthi | November 2026 | BuyYes62¢ → 68¢ | $1,000 | +$97 +9.7% | 40 |
| 18d | jyPoz | November 2026 | BuyYes62¢ → 68¢ | $1,088 | +$103 +9.5% | 40 |
| 21d | flovertaco | December 2026 | BuyNo83¢ → 84¢ | $1,745 | +$26 +1.5% | 32 |
| 22d | Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,745 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 48d | DancewithRisk | October 2026 | SellYes73¢ → <1¢ | $1,748 | +$1,747 +100% | — |
| 52d | DancewithRisk | October 2026 | BuyYes85¢ → <1¢ | $2,236 | −$2,235 −100% | 30 |
| 57d |  Dragontree | October 2026 | BuyYes76¢ → <1¢ | $1,044 | −$1,044 −100% | 36 |
| 60d | hell0pia2 fills | October 2026 | BuyYes69¢ → <1¢ | $3,100 | −$3,097 −100% | 40 |
DancewithRisk3,721 shares
balthazar2,886 shares
ifyouloveme1,457 shares
peterfromfamilyguy1,012 sharesflovertaco1,212 shares
Trading4Fridge267 sharesThis market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 68¢ for November 2026 means the market gives it about 68%.