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Polymarket wallet 0x54211cf5627ad0510185478ae329a34f405af713 · on Polymarket since Sep 16, 2025 · also shown as Mountainous-Fall
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SellYes>99¢ | $586 |
| 37d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes88¢ | $519 |
| 38d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SellNo93¢ | $559 |
| 39d | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BuyNo83¢ | $504 |
| 43d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SellYes35¢ | $327 |
| 43d | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,060 |
| 45d | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BuyYes74¢ | $800 |
| 51d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyYes40¢ | $397 |
| 66d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BuyUp24¢ | $22 |
| 66d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BuyUp38¢ | $26 |
| 66d | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | SellYes35¢ | $320 |
| 69d | Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Manchester City O/U 1.5 | BuyOver41¢ | $602 |
| 69d | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | SellYes37¢ | $603 |
| 73d | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | BuyYes65¢ | $642 |
| 81d | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | BuyYes75¢ | $1,296 |
| 86d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,314 |
| 87d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BuyYes76¢ | $1,012 |
| 97d | Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5 | Buy26¢ | $2,074 |
| 101d | France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5 AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Buy47¢ | $21 |
| 101d | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | Buy24¢ | $10 |
| 104d | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Buy21¢ | $20 |
| 105d | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Buy38¢ | $24 |
| 105d | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Jeremy Doku: 1+ assists AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | Buy17¢ | $10 |
| 106d | Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Buy16¢ | $17 |
| 106d | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals | Buy4¢ | $15 |
| 108d | Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | SellYes69¢ | $9 |
| 108d | Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BuyYes17¢ | $2 |
| 108d | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | Buy31¢ | $25 |
| 109d | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | Buy41¢ | $2,081 |
| 109d | Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shots AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Buy22¢ | $20 |
| 110d | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-05? | Buy22¢ | $20 |
| 111d | Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | Buy25¢ | $20 |
| 112d | Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 AND Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Buy28¢ | $20 |
| 113d | Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? | Buy31¢ | $20 |
| 114d | Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? | BuyYes26¢ | $21 |
| 114d | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | SellYes>99¢ | $92 |
| 114d | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BuyYes25¢ | $23 |
| 115d | France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | Buy16¢ | $20 |
| 115d | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BuyOver52¢ | $23 |
| 116d | Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30? | Buy20¢ | $50 |
| 116d | Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Buy47¢ | $50 |
| 119d | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5 AND Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Buy9¢ | $13 |
| 119d | New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 AND Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | Buy18¢ | $16 |
| 120d | Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 AND Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Score AND Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Buy25¢ | $16 |
| 120d | Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Buy26¢ | $2,145 |
| 123d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes13¢ | $1,461 |
| 123d | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes2¢ | $203 |
| 123d | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes2¢ | $2,476 |
| 123d | Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Buy43¢ | $45 |
| 126d | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | SellYes>99¢ | $75 |
| 126d | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BuyYes59¢ | $45 |
| 128d | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes2¢ | $1,029 |
| 128d | Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 AND Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 AND England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Buy18¢ | $205 |
| 128d | Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Buy41¢ | $214 |
| 128d | England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Buy22¢ | $215 |
| 128d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes18¢ | $1,021 |
| 128d | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BuyYes77¢ | $511 |
| 128d | Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Buy33¢ | $102 |
| 128d | Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5 AND England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Buy27¢ | $102 |
| 128d | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes7¢ | $715 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.