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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| $500M | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| $250M | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| $100M | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| $50M | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| $350M | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| $25M | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| $10M | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| $750M | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| $1.5B | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| $2B | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| $3B | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| $5B | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| $4B | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43d | Separate-Beast | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | Gorgeous-Talking | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $3,760 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | LAKAJSJS | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,060 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | Prinas | $500M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,112 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | anon.1980.123 | $250M | SellYes>99¢ | $4,558 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | anon.1980.123 | $100M | SellYes>99¢ | $7,214 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | xxptv2 fills | $1B | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | −$338 −13% | — |
| 43d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $350M | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,979 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d |  shineforever | $350M | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,223 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d | C03B2 fills | $500M | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,829 | +$815 +17% | 2 |
| 43d | C03B | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,556 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d | Separate-Beast | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | laureman2 fills | $500M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,110 | +$38 +0.6% | 2 |
| 43d | Somber-Ice | $750M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,488 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d |  CosmooKramer | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d |  AllByMyseIf | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,477 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d |  scout | $350M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,058 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d |  cr1mean | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d | 1881aa2 fills | $750M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$23 +1.1% | 2 |
| 43d | scout | $500M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$14 +1.1% | 2 |
| 43d | probability13 fills | $250M | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,943 | +$82 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | ectan | $500M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$150 +1.5% | 2 |
| 43d |  upont2 fills | $500M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,666 | +$138 +2.1% | 2 |
| 43d | probability1 | $350M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,586 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 43d |  themagicofcinema | $1.5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,384 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d | upont | $250M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,176 | −$91 −1.1% | — |
| 43d | 99cbets3 fills | $1B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,697 | +$283 +2.6% | 2 |
| 43d | KindBetter2 fills | $1B | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,856 | +$142 +2.1% | 2 |
| 43d | AllByMyseIf4 fills | $500M | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $14,423 | +$18,241 +126% | 5 |
| 43d | Gorgeous-Talking | $500M | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,408 | +$211 +8.8% | 2 |
| 43d | Urbot999 | $1.5B | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 43d | laureman4 fills | $250M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,896 | +$220 +3.2% | 2 |
| 43d |  0x9ab3 | $250M | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$67 +1.1% | 2 |
| 43d | 1881aa8 fills | $250M | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,002 | −$599 −3.3% | — |
| 43d | LHZZZ2 fills | $500M | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $3,916 | +$797 +20% | 2 |
| 43d | shanze8 | $350M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,920 | +$205 +4.2% | 2 |
| 43d |  mewmew1 | $500M | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | +$178 +14% | 2 |
| 43d | RekMyAds | $1B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,343 | +$98 +4.2% | 2 |
| 43d | beatyesterday3 fills | $250M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,754 | +$394 +4.0% | 2 |
| 43d | 1881aa6 fills | $1B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,087 | +$413 +4.5% | 2 |
| 43d | upont4 fills | $250M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,668 | +$242 +2.3% | 2 |
| 44d | 1881aa | $350M | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$65 +6.4% | 2 |
| 44d | anon.1980.123 | $250M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,710 | +$85 +2.3% | 2 |
| 44d | arbandy2 fills | $500M | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,193 | −$2,193 −100% | 3 |
| 44d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,156 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 44d | beatyesterday | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 44d | beatyesterday6 fills | $100M | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,628 | +$256 +2.0% | 2 |
| 44d | beatyesterday | $50M | BuyYes100¢ | $5,812 | +$29 +0.5% | 2 |
| 44d | VikingTrader2 fills | $250M | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$162 +7.4% | 2 |
| 44d | labal | $750M | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$195 +19% | 2 |
| 44d | Serpentine-Majority | $250M | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$72 +7.2% | 2 |
| 44d | 99cbets2 fills | $1.5B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,941 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 44d | probability15 fills | $100M | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $22,185 | +$1,659 +7.5% | 2 |
| 44d | 99cbets | $4B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,887 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 44d | 99cbets | $5B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,207 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 44d |  Hyperlong | $250M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$112 +10% | 2 |
| 44d | labal2 fills | $1B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$135 +4.7% | 2 |
| 44d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | $1B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,998 | +$134 +4.5% | 2 |
| 44d | AllByMyseIf6 fills | $1B | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $31,820 | −$8,136 −26% | — |
| 44d | xenify2 fills | $500M | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $10,243 | −$5,183 −51% | — |
disputequant17,681 sharesAllByMyseIf13,497 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the LAPTOP token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If the LAPTOP token has not launched by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 0%.