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Polymarket wallet 0x5565a43664e217f85dab28c8b59587e66b7a4b0c · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2026 · also shown as Flimsy-Exhibit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $2 | −$0 −8.0% |
| Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 50¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −73% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season? | BuyYes80¢ | $1 |
| 229d | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BuyYes52¢ | $1 |
| 229d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyYes49¢ | $1 |
| 229d | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 229d | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BuyYes81¢ | $1 |
| 229d | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BuyYes81¢ | $1 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $1 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $1 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo83¢ | $1 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellNo83¢ | $1 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
| 238d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BuyUp68¢ | $1 |
| 238d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | SellUp99¢ | $3 |
| 238d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BuyUp61¢ | $2 |
| 238d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.