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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Perplexity AI | 4% | — | −1 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| OpenAI | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| SoundHound AI | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Carvana | 3% | — | +1 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Anthropic | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| JetBlue Airways | 4% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 69d |
| Xerox | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| C3.ai | 3% | 0 pts | — | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| JC Penney | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Lucid | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | — | in 69d |
| Rivian | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Workhorse | 14% | −5 pts | −3 pts | 11¢ · 16¢ (5¢) | $45.5 | in 69d |
| Lovable | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | $25.7 | in 69d |
| Beyond Meat | 8% | — | −1 pts | 7¢ · 9¢ (2¢) | $7.15 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89d | 0x8931…a90c | OpenAI | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,002 | +$17 +1.7% | 2 |
| 100d | 0x4452…7ae7 | SoundHound AI | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,103 | +$32 +2.9% | 2 |
| 122d | pako | MicroStrategy | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,546 | +$49 +3.2% | 2 |
| 123d |  elmcap2 | MicroStrategy | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,945 | +$84 +4.3% | 2 |
| 162d | QMG-CORE2 fills | MicroStrategy | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $3,600 | +$280 +7.8% | 2 |
| 184d |  0xSkipper | MicroStrategy | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,012 | −$55 −5.4% | — |
| 194d | fastpic | Beyond Meat | BuyNo59¢ → 92¢ | $1,115 | +$624 +56% | 7 |
| 207d | 0xSkipper | MicroStrategy | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,376 | +$75 +5.4% | 2 |
| 313d |  Ahpo | Will iRobot announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,945 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
NUKEIT386 shares
Dr.PNL197 shareselmcap22,311 shares
ponczyk139 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for MicroStrategy means the market gives it about 3%.