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Polymarket wallet 0x56453ced77c9f5a7edae97944f8929968ef46c4e · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2026 · also shown as Subdued-Blackness
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +27% |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +4.3% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $5 |
| 251d | Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BuyYes79¢ | $5 |
| 251d | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $6 |
| 261d | Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January? | BuyNo97¢ | $4 |
| 261d | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $5 |
| 261d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyYes84¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.