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Polymarket wallet 0x56f3f22043ef54662bc08f4ebc531d4959c21b75 · on Polymarket since Mar 10, 2026 · also shown as Aggressive-Refuge
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,047 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,589 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 468 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62,590 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 96 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3,433 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 10-16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,530 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.