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Polymarket wallet 0x5873e37f6c23872281f2ef41c9eb67bbc852a382 · on Polymarket since Nov 7, 2025 · also shown as Frail-Derby
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$3 +85% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Aurora Gaming | 10 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 161d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BuyNo94¢ | $2 |
| 161d | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes54¢ | $3 |
| 161d | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17? | BuyNo76¢ | $13 |
| 161d | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs | BuyAurora Gaming63¢ | $6 |
| 350d | Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SellYes1¢ | $28 |
| 350d | Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 350d | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 350d | Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
| 350d | Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30? | BuyNo85¢ | $1 |
| 350d | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 350d | Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BuyYes1¢ | $33 |
| 350d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,033 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.