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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 24 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 196d | Bitcoin Up or Down on April 11? | BuyDown20¢ | $1 |
| 196d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4PM ET | SellUp98¢ | $1 |
| 196d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BuyUp12¢ | $1 |
| 196d | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 10? | BuyUp7¢ | $1 |
| 196d | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 10? | BuyUp15¢ | $1 |
| 196d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4PM ET | SellUp69¢ | $1 |
| 197d | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10? | BuyUp4¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4PM ET | BuyUp45¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BuyDown3¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | SellUp49¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2PM ET | SellUp30¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2PM ET | SellUp21¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2PM ET | SellUp7¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2PM ET | BuyUp4¢ | $1 |
| 197d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $1 |
| 209d | Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 209d | Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.