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Polymarket wallet 0x599bf3c4bc41a2356a067c217a5f570adb6a7149 · on Polymarket since Nov 7, 2024 · also shown as Realistic-Marksman
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 28 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $28 | +$13 +85% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$6 +37% |
| Israel military action against Iraq by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $17 | +$2 +16% |
| Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 17 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US military action against Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 19 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 499d | Israel military action against Iraq by Friday? | BuyNo92¢ | $17 |
| 499d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | BuyNo73¢ | $15 |
| 499d | Israel military action against Iran by Friday? | BuyNo87¢ | $15 |
| 499d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BuyNo86¢ | $15 |
| 499d | US military action against Iran before July? | BuyNo78¢ | $15 |
| 499d | US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | BuyNo54¢ | $15 |
| 499d | Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? | BuyNo83¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.