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Polymarket wallet 0x59a8382c384a4a9d796e3f0fb47d6475e41104cb · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2025 · also shown as Yawning-Seizure
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $11 | +$1 +10.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 4 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $3 | −$0 −5.9% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 3 | 78¢ → 88¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,010 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,005 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 143d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BuyYes41¢ | $2 |
| 143d | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BuyNo81¢ | $3 |
| 143d | Iran closes its airspace by July 31? | BuyNo72¢ | $3 |
| 143d | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ | $2 |
| 143d | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $10 |
| 352d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,005 |
| 352d | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellYes1¢ | $42 |
| 352d | Will Snowflake say "AWS" during earnings call? | BuyYes94¢ | $2 |
| 352d | Will Microsoft reach $668 in November? | BuyNo99¢ | $2 |
| 352d | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ | $4 |
| 352d | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14? | BuyNo80¢ | $3 |
| 352d | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 352d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $13 |
| 352d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $497 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.