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Polymarket wallet 0x626dd6b8c6008123b16467114b9ceaf9eb930391 · on Polymarket since Sep 16, 2024 · also shown as Light-Tolerant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 183 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes39¢ | $50 |
| 744d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
| 744d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes72¢ | $25 |
| 744d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes46¢ | $25 |
| 752d | Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes32¢ | $25 |
| 752d | Will JD Vance say "IVF" or "In vitro" during the debate? | BuyNo40¢ | $2 |
| 752d | Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%? | BuyYes13¢ | $2 |
| 752d | Will JD Vance say "Tampon" during the debate? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 752d | Will Tim Walz say "VC" or "Venture Capitalist" during the debate? | BuyYes46¢ | $5 |
| 767d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes49¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.