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Polymarket wallet 0x628219b457ba711ce3ff7236c7ad37bc289abeda · on Polymarket since Mar 4, 2026 · also shown as Mellow-Paranoia
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 417 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 181 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Amazon reach $216 in March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $380?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 69 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 233d | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? | BuyNo23¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $380? | BuyNo14¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will Amazon reach $216 in March? | BuyNo18¢ | $10 |
| 233d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4? | SellUp72¢ | $10 |
| 233d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4? | BuyDown31¢ | $10 |
| 233d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4? | BuyUp72¢ | $10 |
| 233d | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BuyNo14¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? | BuyDown6¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15? | BuyNo19¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo2¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BuyYes81¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BuyNo27¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.