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Polymarket wallet 0x63a24838a34a27a5f4a33f71197974e4eb5b3dfc · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2025 · also shown as Afraid-Doughnut
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 903 | 55¢ → 60¢ | $537 | +$40 +7.9% |
| Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $61 | +$13 +28% |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 61 | 15¢ → 91¢ | $55 | +$46 +503% |
| Databricks IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 715 | 66¢ → 2¢ | $16 | −$456 −97% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 387 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 841 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$109 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.