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Polymarket wallet 0x674afc4cc21d9acaaa1d9926284714744e01d582 · on Polymarket since Feb 7, 2025 · also shown as Studious-Ruin
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,542 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$203 −100% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 509,409 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,718 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,597 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,500 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 410d | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyNo1¢ | $2,499 |
| 410d | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $115 |
| 411d | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $105 |
| 413d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $203 |
| 413d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $300 |
| 413d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes12¢ | $2,500 |
| 590d | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | SellYes7¢ | $414 |
| 590d | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | SellYes12¢ | $224 |
| 590d | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | SellYes19¢ | $1,061 |
| 590d | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | SellYes19¢ | $1,535 |
| 624d | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BuyYes13¢ | $958 |
| 624d | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $957 |
| 624d | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BuyYes25¢ | $2,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.