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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 (75 bps) | 100% | +4 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1 (25 bps) | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 (50 bps) | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 (100 bps) | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 (125 bps) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 8 or more (200+ bps) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7 (175 bps) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6 (150 bps) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d | wokerjoesleeper | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,155 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 317d |  0xMilly | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,988 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | nonkenny904 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $17,536 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | Excitable-Convection | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,151 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | 0x41fe…b58a | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,723 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | makeit99 | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,458 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | VvVv | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,025 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d |  HolyMoses7 | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d | 4gibg4i3o | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,082 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d | Abandoned-Counsel13 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,497 | +$24 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,824 | +$37 +0.2% | 10 |
| 317d | 0x4e25…d7a73 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $18,132 | +$1,119 +6.2% | 10 |
| 317d | Siziriv | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,898 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | makeit99 | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | +$38 +2.7% | 10 |
| 317d | 0x41fe…b58a | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,676 | +$49 +3.0% | 10 |
| 317d | nonkenny909 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $56,156 | +$1,738 +3.1% | 11 |
| 317d | 0x6ffa…1796 | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | +$36 +3.1% | 10 |
| 317d | Threadbare | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$93 +3.1% | 10 |
| 317d | 4gibg4i3o | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,850 | +$150 +3.1% | 11 |
| 318d | 0xa6d7…39fb8 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $11,758 | −$833 −7.1% | — |
| 318d | yubojohnny | 2 (50 bps) | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,799 | −$1,799 −100% | 22 |
| 318d | 0xa6d7…39fb8 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $11,930 | +$661 +5.5% | 10 |
| 318d | CryptoRandi | 4 (100 bps) | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 318d |  debased5 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $29,680 | −$2,625 −8.8% | — |
| 318d | cigarettes3 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $17,763 | +$717 +4.0% | 11 |
| 318d | costcostaff012 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | +$7 +0.2% | 10 |
| 318d | costcostaff012 fills | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,499 | +$108 +3.1% | 11 |
| 318d |  sorcerer.015 fills | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $30,693 | +$1,523 +5.0% | 10 |
| 318d | cigarettes3 fills | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $14,021 | +$1,181 +8.4% | 10 |
| 318d | influenz.eth5 fills | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,904 | +$380 +4.8% | 11 |
| 318d | influenz.eth7 fills | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,781 | +$42 +0.4% | 10 |
| 318d | cigarettes | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,640 | +$20 +0.3% | 10 |
| 318d | debased8 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $45,938 | +$3,960 +8.6% | 10 |
| 318d |  flow-trader-at-optiver | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 318d | debased5 fills | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $35,012 | +$3,639 +10% | 10 |
| 318d | hzb8848 | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 11 |
| 318d | hollow811 | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,185 | +$326 +5.3% | 11 |
| 318d | Mushy-Aircraft6 fills | 7 (175 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $13,137 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 318d |  d1k21 | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,685 | +$7 +0.4% | 10 |
| 318d | d1k212 fills | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,307 | +$385 +6.1% | 11 |
| 319d | sorcerer.013 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $49,998 | +$3,617 +7.2% | 11 |
| 319d | sorcerer.01 | 2 (50 bps) | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,706 | −$364 −6.4% | — |
| 319d | Excitable-Convection | 2 (50 bps) | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,222 | −$269 −6.4% | — |
| 319d | Mushy-Aircraft5 fills | 8 or more (200+ bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $11,152 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 319d |  B35 | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 11 |
| 320d | hohoit | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,455 | +$260 +7.5% | 11 |
| 320d | wIsdImsdsIaq | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | −$128 −8.7% | — |
| 321d | exposito | 2 (50 bps) | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,091 | +$373 +5.3% | 10 |
| 322d | Mushy-Aircraft3 fills | 6 (150 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $5,943 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 323d | Aventadooor | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$97 −9.2% | — |
| 323d |  ScottyNooo4 fills | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $9,140 | +$1,671 +18% | 10 |
| 323d | CryptoRandi | 4 (100 bps) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$10 +0.5% | 10 |
| 323d | ThunderDoge2 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,413 | −$224 −9.3% | — |
| 323d | d1k214 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $9,632 | −$6,338 −66% | — |
| 323d |  Alphax3 fills | 3 (75 bps) | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,820 | −$1,411 −18% | — |
| 323d | scoobydoolover2 fills | 2 (50 bps) | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $4,429 | +$4,429 +100% | — |
| 324d | ToTheMooon | 3 (75 bps) | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$72 +6.4% | 10 |
| 324d | CryptoRandi | 5 (125 bps) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,700 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
TheRedChip5,302 sharesThis is a market group over how many Fed rate cuts will happen in 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 3 (75 bps) means the market gives it about 100%.