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Polymarket wallet 0x69e586a5f7bc54be3db9c46563c74be4abd220bc · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Ambitious-Payment
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?Ends in 433d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 16¢ | $2 | −$2 −60% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 73¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$4 −97% |
| Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 6 | 34¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −94% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong LionsSettled - ready to redeem | Guangzhou Loong Lions | 45 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Hornets vs. LakersSettled - ready to redeem | Lakers | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Hornets vs. Lakers | BuyLakers38¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | BuyGuangzhou Loong Lions6¢ | $0 |
| 283d | Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | BuyGuangzhou Loong Lions6¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | BuyGuangzhou Loong Lions6¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | SellGuangzhou Loong Lions7¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions | BuyGuangzhou Loong Lions12¢ | $3 |
| 283d | Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes34¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in January? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BuyYes39¢ | $4 |
| 283d | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | BuyYes73¢ | $4 |
| 283d | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes23¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.