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Polymarket wallet 0x6b98d4285a30e8d4cec53f5589f7af868e5425ed · on Polymarket since Oct 24, 2025 · also shown as Lighthearted-Populist
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 464 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$188 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 140 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 339d | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | BuyYes41¢ | $188 |
| 356d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BuyUp50¢ | $20 |
| 356d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BuyUp15¢ | $20 |
| 363d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 363d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $20 |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $20 |
| 364d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BuyUp62¢ | $20 |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BuyDown71¢ | $13 |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BuyUp92¢ | $20 |
| 364d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BuyUp44¢ | $60 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.