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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,803 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | BuyYes98¢ | $1,350 |
| 290d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes90¢ | $1,215 |
| 318d | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BuyYes97¢ | $1,179 |
| 318d | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $50 |
| 363d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes98¢ | $1,209 |
| 368d | Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 368d | Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22? | BuyNo99¢ | $4,150 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.