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Polymarket wallet 0x7144f8fa344af262f86b058ba164029c6e946624 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Beneficial-Welcome
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 1,700 | 15¢ → 17¢ | $280 | +$22 +8.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 800 | 14¢ → 18¢ | $140 | +$26 +23% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 858 | 11¢ → 14¢ | $124 | +$32 +35% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 700 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $63 | +$22 +52% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 410 | 10¢ → 14¢ | $57 | +$16 +40% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 500 | 6¢ → 9¢ | $42 | +$10 +33% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,116 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $28 | −$17 −38% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $23 | −$2 −7.5% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 29¢ → 23¢ | $2 | −$0 −22% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.