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Polymarket wallet 0x73fe413791f5aed679384f4a7f42f6f072ede80c · on Polymarket since Feb 19, 2026 · also shown as Fatherly-Focus
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$10 +100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 163d | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $208 |
| 243d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $15 |
| 243d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $15 |
| 243d | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $5 |
| 243d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes24¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.