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Polymarket wallet 0x74b555c8aee97984617e7746a2a194f94a4c0b87 · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 238 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$115 −100% |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 139 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 85 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 197d | GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $8 |
| 197d | GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $20 |
| 197d | GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $2 |
| 197d | GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $8 |
| 197d | GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $24 |
| 197d | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | SellYes78¢ | $61 |
| 339d | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BuyYes44¢ | $65 |
| 342d | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BuyYes63¢ | $50 |
| 342d | Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? | BuyYes60¢ | $24 |
| 342d | Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? | BuyYes47¢ | $40 |
| 342d | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BuyYes55¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.