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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | — | 0 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | Somber-Ice | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | SellNo94¢ → 95¢ | $1,014 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 33d |  Raskell | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | SellNo96¢ → 95¢ | $1,801 | +$27 +1.5% | — |
| 37d | Raskell | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $1,788 | −$0 −0.0% | 4 |
| 44d | KiernanMeister | AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | BuyNo77¢ → 95¢ | $1,392 | +$327 +23% | 4 |
BiggieChungus1,176 shares
Contentious-Dinnerdate406 shares
PaddyAlpha1,031 shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 5%.