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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +16% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026? | BuyYes86¢ | $1 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | BuyYes91¢ | $1 |
| 236d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | BuyYes96¢ | $1 |
| 266d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo10¢ | $1 |
| 266d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 268d | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BuyNo82¢ | $12 |
| 268d | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BuyYes27¢ | $5 |
| 268d | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BuyYes25¢ | $1 |
| 268d | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 268d | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BuyYes13¢ | $1 |
| 268d | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January? | BuyYes80¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.