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| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 137d | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | SellNo54¢ | $1,500 |
| 158d | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BuyNo45¢ | $1,322 |
| 158d | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | SellYes93¢ | $1,322 |
| 203d | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | BuyYes90¢ | $1,283 |
| 227d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | SellNo94¢ | $1,295 |
| 231d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BuyNo90¢ | $1,239 |
| 231d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,253 |
| 235d | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | BuyNo92¢ | $1,153 |
| 235d | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ | $1,033 |
| 246d | Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BuyYes90¢ | $108 |
| 274d | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo95¢ | $1,000 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.