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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116d | 0x8931…a90c | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,006 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 119d | Bite-Sized-Princess | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 123d | mikka10117 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $63,401 | +$1,622 +2.6% | 4 |
| 132d | pepewolf123 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,036 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 132d | pepewolf123 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 136d | 13astra | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,247 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 136d | 13astra | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,206 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 136d | TheAlphaKing | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,496 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 139d | galaxystorm | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,136 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 150d |  ScottyNooo | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | −$19 −1.1% | — |
| 165d | bobbityy101 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,876 | −$35 −1.9% | — |
| 188d | Ryan1365 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$85 +4.4% | 4 |
| 188d | JuniorB4 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,726 | −$372 −2.2% | — |
| 205d | Upset-Instruction | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,745 | −$86 −1.8% | — |
| 205d | Watery-Scenario2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $12,562 | −$194 −1.5% | — |
| 214d | JPLP | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 220d | DBomb | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,288 | −$84 −1.3% | — |
| 223d |  abidal | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 224d | carpetinspector2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,096 | −$36 −1.7% | — |
| 226d |  DEGENKHAN | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$16 −1.6% | — |
| 235d |  jadebasilisk4 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,950 | −$255 −2.3% | — |
| 235d | 0x78fa…8ffc | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$23 −2.2% | — |
| 237d | Gdub | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$27 −2.4% | — |
| 238d | ScottieX | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,820 | −$180 −1.8% | — |
| 241d |  Tanjirooo3 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,603 | −$145 −4.0% | — |
| 242d | nokhodchi | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$38 −2.3% | — |
| 242d | LeftieFTW | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$23 −2.2% | — |
| 245d | XD2 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | +$1,302 +100% | — |
| 251d | Tanjirooo2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | +$132 +4.4% | 4 |
| 251d | reffi | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | +$42 +3.6% | 4 |
| 256d |  GerryHannon5 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,876 | +$1,029 +10% | 4 |
| 256d | madman6662 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,742 | −$108 −3.9% | — |
| 257d | GerryHannon2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,401 | −$119 −5.0% | — |
| 257d |  0xdc3E831cad2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,022 | −$719 −5.5% | — |
| 257d | slight- | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,122 | −$400 −4.9% | — |
| 257d | Yomba | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$72 +4.6% | 4 |
| 260d | ourdemocracy2 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,241 | −$106 −3.3% | — |
| 260d |  DegenerateJanet8 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,970 | −$516 −3.0% | — |
| 261d | DEGENKHAN | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$60 +3.0% | 4 |
| 263d |  bosshog | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | −$74 −3.8% | — |
| 263d | JuniorB2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,062 | +$139 +4.5% | 4 |
| 267d |  HerlihyM92 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,828 | −$172 −4.5% | — |
| 267d |  leratpace | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | −$71 −4.5% | — |
| 268d |  GrokEnjoyer | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,275 | −$57 −4.5% | — |
| 268d | Slidger | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,146 | −$150 −4.8% | — |
| 268d | TheAlphaKing2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $18,170 | +$880 +4.8% | 4 |
| 270d |  PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,531 | −$494 −4.7% | — |
| 270d |  tourists | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | −$72 −4.7% | — |
| 270d | huatimus | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | +$142 +4.5% | 4 |
| 272d | Nonstop-Bulk2 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,818 | +$182 +4.8% | 4 |
| 272d | rubick7 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,157 | +$1,157 +100% | — |
| 272d | samponcuochi | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | −$68 −5.6% | — |
| 272d | jaedung | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,841 | −$159 −5.6% | — |
| 272d | jadebasilisk9 fills | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $20,947 | +$1,836 +8.8% | 4 |
| 273d | fullamount | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$59 −5.7% | — |
| 273d |  Roflan-ludoman | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,339 | −$134 −5.7% | — |
| 273d |  The-Joker | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$61 −5.8% | — |
| 273d |  Bigthecat | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$74 +5.6% | 4 |
| 273d |  doubleone2 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,569 | −$95 −6.0% | — |
| 274d | degens9 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | −$83 −5.8% | — |
On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299 This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.