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Polymarket wallet 0x799a697a59072163acc63240df475527001bd567 · on Polymarket since Nov 28, 2025 · also shown as Reasonable-Caravan
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,440 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast EditionSettled - ready to redeem | No | 251 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 334 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo5¢ | $20 |
| 300d | Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition | SellNo4¢ | $1 |
| 300d | Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition | SellNo4¢ | $10 |
| 302d | Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | BuyNo9¢ | $30 |
| 302d | Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? | BuyNo36¢ | $20 |
| 302d | Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition | BuyNo2¢ | $10 |
| 303d | Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? | SellYes70¢ | $69 |
| 303d | Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? | SellYes76¢ | $19 |
| 303d | Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? | SellYes76¢ | $8 |
| 312d | Will MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 312d | Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 328d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes1¢ | $1 |
| 328d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.