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Polymarket wallet 0x79eb29648401494e4df870e9cdeeee02cb250270 · on Polymarket since Dec 23, 2025 · also shown as Foolhardy-Larch
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,345 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,998 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 189 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,106 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 247d | Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 18? | BuyUp58¢ | $58 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $70 |
| 251d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo69¢ | $2,998 |
| 257d | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | BuyYes25¢ | $50 |
| 265d | Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | BuyYes53¢ | $100 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo82¢ | $3,000 |
| 289d | Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11? | BuyYes51¢ | $1,020 |
| 290d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7? | BuyYes65¢ | $400 |
| 291d | Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9? | BuyNo2¢ | $20 |
| 292d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7AM ET | BuyUp5¢ | $69 |
| 293d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 4? | BuyDown7¢ | $110 |
| 294d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BuyDown51¢ | $990 |
| 295d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BuyUp52¢ | $102 |
| 298d | Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $512 |
| 299d | Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | SellYes4¢ | $105 |
| 303d | Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $50 |
| 303d | Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | BuyYes10¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.