| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 2,000 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $1,810 | +$10 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,000 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $1,250 | +$10 +0.8% |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,247 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $1,178 | +$186 +19% |
| Eric Adams charged by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 847 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $708 | +$84 +13% |
| Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 678 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $644 | +$7 +1.1% |
| Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 501 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $481 | +$10 +2.0% |
| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 405 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $399 | +$75 +23% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | Yes | 1,696 | 35¢ → 24¢ | $399 | −$194 −33% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 73d | Yes | 250 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $229 | +$4 +1.7% |
| Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 183 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $175 | +$3 +1.6% |
| GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?Ends in 438d | No | 995 | 10¢ → 17¢ | $169 | +$71 +72% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | No | 211 | 38¢ → 77¢ | $163 | +$83 +103% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | Yes | 638 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $147 | −$7 −4.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d | Yes | 1,256 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $119 | +$33 +38% |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 103 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $100 | +$3 +3.2% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 112 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $100 | +$12 +13% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d | Yes | 4,291 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $82 | +$9 +13% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d | Yes | 1,750 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $59 | +$6 +12% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 74d | Yes | 247 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $58 | +$4 +7.3% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 58 | 71¢ → 78¢ | $45 | +$4 +9.4% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageEnds in 5d | Top Esports | 163 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 74d | Yes | 35 | 66¢ → 79¢ | $27 | +$4 +19% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,659 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $24 | +$7 +45% |
| Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 22 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $20 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,015 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $18 | +$3 +20% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 14 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,360 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,442 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,645 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$433 −100% |
| LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Secret Whales | 5,676 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$694 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 121 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)Settled - ready to redeem | G2 Esports | 11 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | LYON | 1,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Team Secret Whales win MSI 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,074 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,360 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Deep Cross Gaming | 753 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,643 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 652 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 452 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Top Esports | 1,000 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$310 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,360 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,656 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs FlyQuest (BO1) - Cross Regional Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | DN SOOPers | 1,895 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$751 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,138 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$135 −100% |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,085 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,640 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will T1 win MSI 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,419 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | G2 Esports | 79 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)Settled - ready to redeem | Top Esports | 554 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$328 −100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 293 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 97 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,686 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$596 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Team Secret Whales | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,135 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$315 −100% |
| Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,020 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Top Esports | 51,997 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| LoL: MVK Esports vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | FURIA Esports | 1,000 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,360 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 232 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,643 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,220 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | T1 | 500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | T1 | 2,000 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$377 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 683 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 252 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| LoL Cross Regional: DK vs C9Settled - ready to redeem | DK | 1,256 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$842 −100% |
| LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOSSettled - ready to redeem | LOS | 284 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 954 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 452 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,281 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$183 −100% |
| Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,217 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Karmine Corp | 11,351 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | FURIA Esports | 10,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | T1 | 1,790 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,030 −100% |
| Will FURIA win MSI 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,153 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerSettled - ready to redeem | Bilibili Gaming | 1,401 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$233 −100% |
| Games Total: O/U 4.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 46 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
