| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 694 | 28¢ → 34¢ | $233 | +$41 +22% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 120 | 11¢ → 19¢ | $22 | +$9 +66% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 51¢ → 99¢ | $12 | +$6 +95% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Ends in 3d | Yes | 30 | 14¢ → 22¢ | $6 | +$2 +50% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 20?Ends ended | Yes | 5 | 43¢ → 93¢ | $5 | +$3 +115% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 3¢ → 19¢ | $4 | +$3 +528% |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $3 | +$2 +383% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 180 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 20?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$3 −77% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 490 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$4 −90% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 12¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$5 −92% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −67% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 11¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$8 −97% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?Ends in 3d | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −82% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?Ends ended | Yes | 32 | 31¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$10 −98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 29¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 20?Ends ended | Yes | 70 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 20?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 16¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?Ends ended | Yes | 9 | 52¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 339 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will "Verity" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 641 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,118 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$172 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 195 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$57 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 380 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$101 −100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucie Havlickova vs Nao HibinoSettled - ready to redeem | Nao Hibino | 20 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,681 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$105 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 400 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo HeideSettled - ready to redeem | Gustavo Heide | 50 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 756 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$288 −100% |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 596 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| US Open, Qualification WTA: Vendula Valdmannova vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSettled - ready to redeem | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 20 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosSettled - ready to redeem | Houston Astros | 50 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 110 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,062 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Kingston: Juan Carlos Prado vs Juan Pablo FicovichSettled - ready to redeem | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 20 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 116 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 410 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 295 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,425 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$325 −100% |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 13m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,231 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,384 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$347 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 33m and 36m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 434 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will "Verity" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 310 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$149 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Kingston 2: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew FentySettled - ready to redeem | Alvaro Guillen Meza | 10 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 336 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,025 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Quebec City: Kyrian Jacquet vs Aleksandar VukicSettled - ready to redeem | Kyrian Jacquet | 30 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,510 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$59 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,004 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,250 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 170 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 990 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,096 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$259 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 415 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 651 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$132 −100% |
| Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 456 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$44 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 511 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 62 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$199 −100% |
| Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian FeldbauschSettled - ready to redeem | Kilian Feldbausch | 10 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,176 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,100 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$267 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 127 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
