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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 0% | −3 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | +44 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| October 15 | 100% | +72 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 22 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| November 30 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 37d |
| November 15 | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 22d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | thoodr | November 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,253 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 18d | thoodr2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,512 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 18d | thoodr | October 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,419 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 18d |  themagicofcinema2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$40 +1.7% | 4 |
| 18d |  MisTKy2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,863 | +$87 +2.2% | 4 |
| 18d | Newshound | October 15 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$152 +9.8% | 4 |
| 18d |  Ahpo | October 15 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,954 | +$1,160 +39% | 4 |
| 18d | pieped | October 31 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$345 +33% | 4 |
| 18d |  Trading4Fridge | November 30 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $6,196 | +$2,065 +33% | 4 |
| 18d | MisTKy | November 15 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | +$1,550 +61% | 4 |
| 18d | Newshound2 fills | October 31 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $3,173 | +$2,119 +67% | 4 |
| 18d |  Mataty1 | October 31 | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,013 | −$1,013 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | Chelseaone | October 31 | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | −$1,733 −114% | — |
| 18d | Arman22 fills | October 15 | BuyYes28¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$5,133 +257% | 7 |
| 19d | Quarzo | November 30 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | +$440 +33% | 4 |
| 19d | Hashbrown | October 15 | BuyNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | −$1,480 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | Huludubu | October 15 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,513 | −$2,513 −100% | 4 |
| 19d |  Raskell2 fills | October 15 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,671 | −$2,671 −100% | 4 |
| 19d |  aenews2 | November 30 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,724 | +$489 +28% | 4 |
| 19d |  GollumGekko | October 31 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,028 | −$1,028 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | 202606013 fills | October 15 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $4,149 | −$4,149 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | Newshound | October 31 | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,362 | −$1,121 −82% | — |
| 19d | Arman22 fills | October 15 | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $5,094 | +$5,094 +100% | — |
| 19d |  Tiou | October 15 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | Tiou | October 31 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | BERICHING | October 31 | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $1,255 | −$1,255 −100% | 4 |
| 20d |  BigMackyG3 fills | October 15 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$11,195 +188% | 9 |
| 20d |  tetrase | November 30 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,333 | +$951 +22% | 4 |
| 21d | mathrex | October 15 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 22d | Natstar777 | October 15 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 4 |
| 22d | Chelseaone | October 31 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,249 +62% | 4 |
| 22d | pieped | October 15 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $1,357 | −$1,357 −100% | 4 |
| 23d | Mataty1 | October 15 | SellNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,432 | +$2,432 +100% | — |
| 23d | Trading4Fridge | October 15 | SellNo66¢ → 0¢ | $2,682 | +$2,682 +100% | — |
| 23d | 20260601 | October 31 | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$745 −67% | — |
| 23d | sdfsdgdfg | October 15 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 4 |
| 23d | Smart-bettor7 | October 15 | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 4 |
| 23d | Jest555 fills | September 30 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $17,991 | +$710 +3.9% | 5 |
| 23d |  arjennnnn2 fills | September 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,815 | +$12 +0.3% | 4 |
| 23d |  johnnyA | September 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,714 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 23d | Arman2 | September 30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,266 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 24d | Trading4Fridge | October 15 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $4,693 | −$4,693 −100% | 4 |
| 24d | BigMackyG | October 31 | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,079 | +$1,079 +100% | — |
| 24d | BigMackyG | October 15 | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,479 | +$1,479 +100% | — |
| 24d | slobber | October 31 | SellYes44¢ → 100¢ | $4,512 | −$5,662 −125% | — |
| 24d | Natstar777 | October 15 | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | −$2,114 −152% | — |
| 24d | johnnyA2 fills | September 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,223 | +$100 +3.1% | 5 |
| 24d |  Debosnys | September 30 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$43 +3.1% | 5 |
| 24d | 202606012 fills | September 30 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$1,100 +38% | 4 |
| 25d |  PMplayer | September 30 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$109 +9.9% | 6 |
| 26d | Worst-Underwear-Fleck | September 30 | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 9 |
| 26d | tetrase | October 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,934 | +$984 +25% | 4 |
| 26d | goatboss | September 30 | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | −$1,433 −100% | — |
| 26d |  WarriorPooh4 fills | September 30 | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $6,920 | −$6,920 −100% | 5 |
| 26d | tetrase3 fills | September 30 | SellYes72¢ → 0¢ | $15,809 | +$15,809 +100% | — |
| 26d | conotocaurius | September 30 | SellNo35¢ → 100¢ | $1,595 | −$3,008 −189% | — |
| 26d | BigMackyG2 fills | October 31 | BuyNo26¢ → 0¢ | $2,665 | −$2,665 −100% | 8 |
| 26d |  Gemini456 | September 30 | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,128 | +$1,128 +100% | — |
| 26d | Slim-Felony | October 15 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$299 +20% | 4 |
| 26d | Gemini4563 fills | September 30 | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $6,463 | −$6,463 −100% | 8 |
WarriorPooh13,311 shares
Hakei.6,222 shares
PaddyAlpha4,441 sharesOn September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for September 30 means the market gives it about 0%.