| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 550 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $451 | −$6 −1.3% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 21, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 212 | 76¢ → 92¢ | $196 | +$35 +22% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026?Ends ended | No | 169 | 80¢ → >99¢ | $169 | +$34 +25% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?Ends ended | No | 148 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $148 | +$8 +5.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 210 | 67¢ → 65¢ | $136 | −$4 −3.1% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 140 | 28¢ → 55¢ | $76 | +$37 +95% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 150 | 18¢ → 39¢ | $58 | +$31 +114% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 80 | 55¢ → 72¢ | $58 | +$14 +31% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 115 | 29¢ → 38¢ | $44 | +$10 +30% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 193 | 25¢ → 22¢ | $42 | −$6 −12% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 50 | 22¢ → 77¢ | $39 | +$27 +246% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 120 | 71¢ → 23¢ | $28 | −$57 −67% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 106 | 1¢ → 24¢ | $25 | +$24 +2091% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 24, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 24 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $23 | +$2 +8.2% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 68 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $21 | +$5 +29% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%?Ends in 16d | Yes | 90 | 17¢ → 22¢ | $19 | +$4 +29% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 107 | 84¢ → 16¢ | $17 | −$73 −82% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $10 | +$8 +494% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | Yes | 30 | 49¢ → 26¢ | $8 | −$7 −47% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 18 | 28¢ → 42¢ | $7 | +$2 +48% |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 30¢ → 30¢ | $6 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?Ends in 16d | Yes | 50 | 1¢ → 10¢ | $5 | +$4 +665% |
| Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 73 | 1¢ → 7¢ | $5 | +$4 +560% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 105 | <1¢ → 4¢ | $4 | +$3 +842% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 46 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $3 | +$2 +132% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 900 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$2 −47% |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 200 | 7¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$11 −82% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $2 | +$2 +267% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$0 −9.1% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 130 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | +$1 +63% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 362 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | +$1 +353% |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 43d | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 17¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 20 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$0 −19% |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 6 | 1¢ → 13¢ | $1 | +$1 +2430% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 1 | 29¢ → 31¢ | $0 | +$0 +8.4% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 29 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +67% |
| Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 5 | 1¢ → 6¢ | $0 | +$0 +619% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +410% |
| Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +27% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 10 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$0 −8.3% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 19, 2026?Ends in 22h | Yes | 1 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $0 | +$0 +40% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 94 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 53 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 207 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 60 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 6 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 504 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 89 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 341 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$127 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Settled - ready to redeem | Under | 60 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 180 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 137 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 599 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$161 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 171 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released prior to August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 130 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 688 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 650 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 246 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 123 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$111 −100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Khamzat Chimaev | 370 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 5, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 120 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 248 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 342 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 193 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 437 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$66 −100% |
| Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 52 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 144 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSettled - ready to redeem | Spurs | 120 | 82¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$98 −100% |
