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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +100% |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 238d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BuyYes50¢ | $1 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | SellYes99¢ | $2 |
| 240d | Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | BuyYes22¢ | $1 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $1 |
| 240d | Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes84¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.