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Polymarket wallet 0x7e4186726bc1de8c420fad7178a8c343f32401e2 · on Polymarket since Sep 10, 2024 · also shown as Joyous-Birdwatcher
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,154 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,363 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,538 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,713 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,500 −100% |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 593 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$451 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo93¢ | $9 |
| 716d | Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | SellNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 716d | Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%? | SellYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 716d | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 | SellYes<1¢ | $8 |
| 718d | Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | BuyNo76¢ | $458 |
| 718d | Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%? | BuyYes13¢ | $150 |
| 718d | Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%? | BuyYes15¢ | $200 |
| 718d | Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%? | BuyYes13¢ | $200 |
| 718d | Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%? | BuyYes13¢ | $200 |
| 718d | 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64 | BuyYes16¢ | $400 |
| 718d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes40¢ | $1,500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.