Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 714d |  Ghewu | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,559 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 714d |  LBZcapital | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,841 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 714d | professorx2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,830 | +$22 +0.2% | 20 |
| 714d | D42d4 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $49,932 | +$763 +1.5% | 20 |
| 714d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe33 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,382 | +$17 +0.3% | 20 |
| 714d |  Car3 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,525 | +$180 +5.1% | 21 |
| 714d | Idontwantausername2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,791 | +$129 +4.6% | 21 |
| 715d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | +$73 +3.0% | 21 |
| 715d |  BustedCungly | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | −$112 −3.8% | — |
| 715d | BustedCungly2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,429 | +$196 +5.7% | 21 |
| 715d | Ghewu | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | +$37 +3.2% | 21 |
| 715d | NoLuckAtAll | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,647 | +$172 +3.0% | 21 |
| 716d | FeGro | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | +$39 +2.0% | 20 |
| 716d | F-00 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$204 +2.0% | 20 |
| 716d | DeezzNutzz | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,626 | +$174 +3.1% | 21 |
| 716d |  GoriIIa | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $26,896 | +$1,334 +5.0% | 21 |
| 716d | 0x00coin | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$123 +5.3% | 21 |
| 716d | Arielta01 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,078 | +$133 +6.4% | 21 |
| 716d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,409 | +$296 +8.7% | 21 |
| 716d | xDemolisherx | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | +$127 +8.7% | 21 |
| 716d |  TelegramTeleblog | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$104 +8.7% | 21 |
| 716d | polypotato | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 21 |
| 716d |  Utrata | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$71 +7.1% | 21 |
| 716d | ceiqm | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$162 −15% | — |
| 716d | K.M.W. | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$175 +8.8% | 21 |
| 716d | Ironclad-Diagram | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 27 |
| 716d | Vortexlovestogamble | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $3,190 | −$3,190 −100% | 30 |
| 716d | Mor-884 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$75 −6.4% | — |
| 716d |  Libitum5 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,230 | +$1,030 +8.4% | 21 |
| 716d | Rakkefanten | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$130 +5.3% | 21 |
| 717d |  XiJinPing-4782 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | −$736 −17% | — |
| 717d | wiserbit | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | −$261 −10% | — |
| 717d | makjacky | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,619 | −$211 −13% | — |
| 717d | Jason.Xu | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,553 | +$375 +3.0% | 20 |
| 717d | makjacky | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,718 | +$112 +6.5% | 21 |
| 717d | QQQQ123 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$919 +15% | 22 |
| 717d | wiserbit | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | −$1,063 −100% | 25 |
| 717d | Gloomy-Cilantro | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,541 | +$1,541 +100% | — |
| 717d | Gloomy-Cilantro | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | −$1,019 −100% | 22 |
| 718d | Minato797 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,353 | −$731 −31% | — |
| 718d | Magamyman3 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $8,127 | +$2,082 +26% | 21 |
| 718d | FreeMoney1 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | −$1,179 −100% | 23 |
| 719d | Horrible-Blazer3 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,672 | +$644 +18% | 21 |
| 719d | chiwawa | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | −$221 −20% | — |
| 719d | Minato797 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,613 | +$472 +18% | 21 |
| 719d |  ImJustKen | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$307 +27% | 21 |
| 719d | XiJinPing-4784 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $4,274 | +$2,026 +47% | 22 |
| 719d | Mou-454 | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,073 | +$790 +38% | 22 |
| 720d | TheWarrior | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,003 | −$1,003 −100% | 22 |
| 720d | Moj2 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,668 | +$1,514 +32% | 22 |
| 720d | ahahahah | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$303 +26% | 21 |
| 721d | Pacpac-7362 fills | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,377 | +$492 +21% | 21 |
| 722d | chiwawa | Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$474 +18% | 20 |
Sachmoute13 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran initiates a military action on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate between October 31, 10:00 AM ET and November 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Iran on Israeli soil, airspace, maritime territory or any official Israeli embassy or consulate (e.g. if a weapons depot on Israeli soil is hit by an Iranian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Iranian government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.