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Polymarket wallet 0x7feb8e8a1dcac9f4149fa2250010f8881e5e533a · on Polymarket since May 10, 2025 · also shown as Finished-Shot
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 54¢ → 100¢ | $37 | +$17 +85% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,095 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Qatar military action against Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 481 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 189 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| US forces in Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Trump approval >40% on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,134 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump attend NATO Summit?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 111 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 183 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 111 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 244 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 484d | Trump approval >40% on July 1? | BuyNo1¢ | $30 |
| 484d | US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline? | BuyNo11¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | BuyYes<1¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Qatar military action against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Will Trump attend NATO Summit? | BuyNo9¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 487d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyNo54¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July? | BuyYes15¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyYes18¢ | $20 |
| 487d | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyYes16¢ | $30 |
| 487d | US forces in Iran before August? | BuyYes11¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.